Surebet Calculator
Surebet calculator - how to use it and understand the math behind it?
If you want to be a successful sports arbitrage bettor you will definitely need surebet calculator. It is necessary as the businessman needs to calculate the risk before investing but it is much simpler. In sports arbitrage betting the first thing you need is reliable and fast software as OddStorm with easy to use surebet calculator build in. With this calculator you will evaluate the risk and will know the right amount to bet on each bookmaker. There are many kinds of sure bets and they all have different calculations and different sure bet calculator for each of them, but they all have similar structure to be more easy for use. Below are several types of calculations:
Surebet Calculator with two (2) outcomes
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Outcome
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Price
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Commission
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Stake
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Income
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1 1.42 'Bookie A'
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X2 4.10 'Bookie B'
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Total Stake
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Return
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Profit
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Arbitrage
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Above we have surebet with two outcomes between "Bookie A" and "Bookie B".
Match: England vs Romania
Outcomes:
1) 1 at 1.42 - "Bookie A" (England to Win)
2) X2 at 4.10 - "Bookie B" (Romania to Win or Draw)
If we bet 100.00 on "Bookie A", we have to bet 34.63 on "Bookie B" to win 7.37 sure profit.
From this profit (0.00), the "Exchange A" will get 0.00% commission and our profit will decrease to: 0.00 - 0.00*0.00% = 0.00.
The final profit is: 0.00 - 0.00 = 0.00
From this profit (0.00), the "Exchange B" will get 0.00% commission and our profit will decrease to: 0.00 - 0.00*0.00% = 0.00.
The final profit is: 0.00 - 0.00 = 0.00
Surebet Calculator with two (2) outcomes /example 1/
Above we have surebet with Tempobet and 188Bet.
Match:
Tiandjin Teda - Shijiazhuang Ever Bright
Outcomes:1) 1 at 2.35 - Tempobet ("Tiandjin Teda" to Win)
2) AH2 (+0.5) at 1.87 - 188Bet ("Shijiazhuang Ever Bright" to Win or Draw)
If we bet 100 on Tempobet, we have to bet 125,66 on 188Bet to win 9.34.
Lets calculate:- 1.1) If "Tiandjin Teda" Win you will win 100x2.35 - (100+125.66) = 235.00-225.66 = 9.34.
- 2.1) If "Shijiazhuang Ever Bright" Win or is Draw you will win 125.66x1.87 - (100+125.66) = 234.99-225.66 = 9.32.
If the odds change we have to recalculate the stake that will have to bet. This happens a lot so be careful when you bet to avoid mistakes. This is described in more details in the article "Moving odds and technical errors in arbitrage betting" .
Fields:
Outcome: All the possible outcomes for surebet as lines.
HC: Handicap given to the lines.
Price: The coefficients for the outcomes(odds).
Stake: The total amount we have to bet on the outcome.
Income: The total profit from the surebet. It is possible to be negative (useful for bonus hunters)
Calculate: Press it to calculate your stakes you need to bet on the other side of the surebet. If you prefer to work with keyboard you can also just press "Enter".
Total: Shows the total amounts and values.
- Stake: Total amount you need to place the surebet.
- Return: Total amount of the money you will win as a return.
- Profit: The difference between "Return" and "Stake". It is the total profit of your bet.
- Arbitrage: The total % of profit.
Outcomes: Shows you different combinations between the bookmakers to place the sure bets. At the top is the combination with highest "Arbitrage".
Odd History: Shows you the movements of the odds. Most advanced bettors wait for these odds to get to their highest value and then to place the bet. This will increase the "Arbitrage".
Arbs Calculator with two (2) outcomes /example 2/
There is a chance to appear surebet between two Asian Lines which is really rarely but it happens anyway. In this situation there is a chance to get half profit or zero profit. These surebets are also suitable for bonus hunters. Below is example for surebet between two Asian lines:
In this case AH1 (0) means home team to win. If the match is draw - the whole bet will be void. AH2(0) means away team to win. If the match is draw - the whole bet will be void.
So no matter who wins the match according to the arbitrage calculator you will win 24,14% profit. In case of a draw, both stakes will be returned, and the profit will be zero.
Arbing Calculator with three (3) outcomes /example 3/
In this situation you can see there are three outcomes. You will need to place three bets to cover all the outcomes. These arbitrages are usually with a higher percentage of profit. Lets calculate:
Match:
Kawasaki Frontale - Montedio Yamagata
Outcomes:
1) 1 at 3.26 - Pinnacle ("Kawasaki Frontale" to Win)
2) X at 2.35 - TitanBet to be Draw
3) 2 at 7.50 - FonBet ("Montedio Yamagata" to Win)
If we bet 100 on Pinnacle, we have to bet 138.72 on TitanBet and 43.46 on FonBet to win 43.82.
Lets calculate:- 1.1) If "Kawasaki Frontale" Win you will win 100x3.26 - (100+138.72+43.46) = 326.00 - 282.18 = 43.82.
- 2.1) If the result is Draw you will win 138.72x2.35 - (100+138.72+43.46) = 325.99 - 282.18 = 43.81.
- 3.1) If "Montedio Yamagata" Win you will win 43.46x7.50 - (100+138.72+43.46) = 325.95 - 282.18 = 43.77.
Now you should consider if this odd of 7.5 isn't bookmakers error and is he going to void your bet. If you wonder why, take a look at this article "What is bet cancellation (obvious error)?"
Sure Bet Calc with four (4) outcomes /example 4/
In this case AH2 (-0.75) means away team to win by 2 or more. If won by 1 - half bet will be void, half wins. EHX (+1) means away team to win with exactly one goal margin.
Match: Atromitos - Fenerbahce
Outcomes:1) AH2 (-0.75) at 2.52 - Pinnacle ("Fenerbahce" to Win by two or more goals)
2) EHX (+1) at 3.75 - SportingBet ("Fenerbahce" to Win with exactly one goal margin)
3) X at 3.60 - MarathonBet to be Draw
4) 1 at 4.40 - MarathonBet ("Atromitos" to Win)
If we bet 100 on Pinnacle, we have to bet 20.26 on SportingBet, 70 on MarathonBet and 57.27 again on MarathonBet to win 4.47.
Lets calculate:- 1.1) If "Fenerbahce" Win by two or more goals for example 1:3 you will win 100x2.52 - (100+20.16+70+57.27) = 252.00 - 247.53 = 4.47.
- 2.1) If "Fenerbahce" Win with exactly one goal margin for example 1:2 you will win 20.26x3.75 but your half of the bet in AH2(-0,75) on Pinnacle will be void and half will win, so you will actually win 20.26x3.75 + 50x2.52 - (50+20.16+70+57.27) = 75.98 + 126 - 197.53 = 4.45.
- 3.1) If the result is Draw you will win 70.00x3.60 - (100+20.16+70+57.27) = 252.00 - 247.53 = 4.47.
- 4.1) If "Atromitos" Win you will win 57.27x4.40 - (100+20.16+70+57.27) = 251.99 - 247.53 = 4.46.
List of the Abbreviations used in the calculator
| AH1(+0.00) | Home team to win. In case of draw - all stakes will be refunded. |
| AH1(+0.25) | Home team to win. In case of draw - half stakes will be refunded and half will win. |
| AH1(+0.50) | Home team to win or match to be draw. |
| AH1(+0.75) | Home team to win or match to be draw. If home team lose with exactly one goal margin (for example 0:1, 1:2, 2:3) - half stakes will be refunded and half will be lost. |
| AH1(+1.00) | Home team to win or match to be draw. If home team lose with exactly one goal margin (for example 0:1, 1:2, 2:3) - all stakes will be refunded. |
| AH1(+1.25) | Home team to win or match to be draw. If home team lose with exactly one goal margin (for example 0:1, 1:2, 2:3) - half stakes will be refunded and half will win. |
| AH1(+1.50) | Home team to win, match to be draw or home team to lose with exactly one goal margin (for example 0:1, 1:2, 2:3). |
| AH1(+1.75) | Home team to win, match to be draw or home team to lose with exactly one goal margin (for example 0:1, 1:2, 2:3). If home team lose with exactly two goals margin (for example 0:2, 1:3, 2:4) - half stakes will be refunded and half will be lost. |
| AH1(+2.00) | Home team to win, match to be draw or home team to lose with exactly one goal margin (for example 0:1, 1:2, 2:3). If home team lose with exactly two goals margin (for example 0:2, 1:3, 2:4) - all stakes will be refunded. |
| AH1 (+etc ...) | Same conditions ... |
| AH1(-0.25) | Home team to win. In case of draw - half stakes will be refunded and half will be lost. |
| AH1(-0.50) | Home team to win. |
| AH1(-0.75) | Home team to win with at least two goals margin (for example 2:0, 3:0, 4:2). If home team win with exactly one goal margin (for example 1:0, 2:1, 3:2) - half stakes will be refunded and half will win. |
| AH1(-1.00) | Home team to win with at least two goals margin (for example 2:0, 3:0, 4:2). If home team win with exactly one goal margin (for example 1:0, 2:1, 3:2) - all stakes will be refunded. |
| AH1(-1.25) | Home team to win with at least two goals margin (for example 2:0, 3:0, 4:2). If home team win with exactly one goal margin (for example 1:0, 2:1, 3:2) - half stakes will be refunded and half will be lost. |
| AH1(-1.50) | Home team to win with at least two goals margin (for example 2:0, 3:0, 4:2). |
| AH1(-1.75) | Home team to win with at least three goals margin (for example 3:0, 4:0, 5:2). If home team win with exactly two goals margin (for example 2:0, 3:1, 4:2) - half stakes will be refunded and half will win. |
| AH1(-2.00) | Home team to win with at least three goals margin (for example 3:0, 4:0, 5:2). If home team win with exactly two goals margin (for example 2:0, 3:1, 4:2) - all stakes will be refunded. |
| AH1 (-etc ...) | Same conditions ... |
| AH2(+0.00) | Away team to win. In case of draw - all stakes will be refunded. |
| AH2(+0.25) | Away team to win. In case of draw - half stakes will be refunded and half will win. |
| AH2(+0.50) | Away team to win or match to be draw. |
| AH2(+0.75) | Away team to win or match to be draw. If away team lose with exactly one goal margin (for example 1:0, 2:1, 3:2) - half stakes will be refunded and half will be lost. |
| AH2(+1.00) | Away team to win or match to be draw. If away team lose with exactly one goal margin (for example 1:0, 2:1, 3:2) - all stakes will be refunded. |
| AH2(+1.25) | Away team to win or match to be draw. If Away team lose with exactly one goal margin (for example 1:0, 2:1, 3:2) - half stakes will be refunded and half will win. |
| AH2(+1.50) | Away team to win, match to be draw or away team to lose with exactly one goal margin (for example 1:0, 2:1, 3:2). |
| AH2(+1.75) | Away team to win, match to be draw or away team to lose with exactly one goal margin (for example 1:0, 2:1, 3:2). If away team lose with exactly two goals margin (for example 2:0, 3:1, 4:2) - half stakes will be refunded and half will be lost. |
| AH2(+2.00) | Away team to win, match to be draw or away team to lose with exactly one goal margin (for example 1:0, 2:1, 3:2). If away team lose with exactly two goals margin (for example 2:0, 3:1, 4:2) - all stakes will be refunded. |
| AH2 (+etc ...) | Same conditions ... |
| AH2(-0.25) | Away team to win. In case of draw - half stakes will be refunded and half will be lost. |
| AH2(-0.50) | Away team to win. |
| AH2(-0.75) | Away team to win with at least two goals margin (for example 0:2, 0:3, 2:4). If away team win with exactly one goal margin (for example 0:1, 1:2, 2:3) - half stakes will be refunded and half will win. |
| AH2(-1.00) | Away team to win with at least two goals margin (for example 0:2, 0:3, 2:4). If away team win with exactly one goal margin (for example 0:1, 1:2, 2:3) - all stakes will be refunded. |
| AH2(-1.25) | Away team to win with at least two goals margin (for example 0:2, 0:3, 2:4). If away team win with exactly one goal margin (for example 0:1, 1:2, 2:3) - half stakes will be refunded and half will be lost. |
| AH2(-1.50) | Away team to win with at least two goals margin (for example 0:2, 0:3, 2:4). |
| AH2(-1.75) | Away team to win with at least three goals margin (for example 0:3, 0:4, 2:5). If away team win with exactly two goals margin (for example 0:2, 0:3, 2:4) - half stakes will be refunded and half will win. |
| AH2(-2.00) | Away team to win with at least three goals margin (for example 0:3, 0:4, 2:5). If away team win with exactly two goals margin (for example 0:2, 0:3, 2:4) - all stakes will be refunded. |
| AH2 (-etc ...) | Same conditions ... |
| EH1 (-1) | Home team to win with at least two goals margin (for example 2:0, 3:0, 4:2). |
| EH1 (-2) | Home team to win with at least three goals margin (for example 3:0, 4:0, 5:2). |
| EH1 (-3) | Home team to win with at least four goals margin (for example 4:0, 5:0, 6:2). |
| EH1 (-etc ...) | Same conditions ... |
| EH1 (+1) | Home team to win or match to be draw. |
| EH1 (+2) | Home team to win, match to be draw or home team to lose with exactly one goal margin (for example 0:1, 1:2, 2:3). |
| EH1 (+3) | Home team to win, match to be draw or home team to lose with exactly one or two goals margin (for example 0:1, 1:3, 2:3). |
| EH1 (+etc ...) | Same conditions ... |
| EHX (-1) | Home team to win with exactly one goal margin (for example 1:0, 3:2, 4:3). |
| EHX (-2) | Home team to win with exactly two goals margin (for example 2:0, 4:2, 5:3). |
| EHX (-3) | Home team to win with exactly three goals margin (for example 3:0, 5:2, 6:3). |
| EHX (-etc ...) | Same conditions ... |
| EHX (+1) | Away team to win with exactly one goal margin (for example 1:0, 3:2, 4:3). |
| EHX (+2) | Away team to win with exactly two goals margin (for example 2:0, 4:2, 5:3). |
| EHX (+3) | Away team to win with exactly three goals margin (for example 3:0, 5:2, 6:3). |
| EHX (+etc ...) | Same conditions ... |
| EH2 (-1) | Away team to win with at least two goals margin (for example 0:2, 0:3, 2:4). |
| EH2 (-2) | Away team to win with at least three goals margin (for example 0:3, 0:4, 2:5). |
| EH2 (-3) | Away team to win with at least four goals margin (for example 0:4, 0:5, 2:6). |
| EH2 (-etc ...) | Same conditions ... |
| EH2 (+1) | Away team to win or match to be draw. |
| EH2 (+2) | Away team to win, match to be draw or away team to lose with exactly one goal margin (for example 1:0, 2:1, 3:2). |
| EH2 (+3) | Away team to win, match to be draw or away team to lose with exactly one or two goals margin (for example 1:0, 3:1, 4:2). |
| EH2 (+etc ...) | Same conditions ... |
| Under 0.50 | Total goals to be 0. |
| Under 0.75 | Total goals to be 0. If total goals are 1 - half stakes will be refunded and half will be lost. |
| Under 1.00 | Total goals to be 0. If total goals are 1 - all stakes will be refunded. |
| Under 1.25 | Total goals to be 0. If total goals are 1 - half stakes will be refunded and half will win. |
| Under 1.50 | Total goals to be 0 or 1. |
| Under 1.75 | Total goals to be 0 or 1. If total goals are 2 - half stakes will be refunded and half will be lost. |
| Under 2.00 | Total goals to be 0 or 1. If total goals are 2 - all stakes will be refunded. |
| Under 2.25 | Total goals to be 0 or 1. If total goals are 2 - half stakes will be refunded and half will win. |
| Under 2.50 | Total goals to be 0, 1 or 2. |
| Under 2.75 | Total goals to be 0, 1 or 2. If total goals are 3 - half stakes will be refunded and half will be lost. |
| Under 3.00 | Total goals to be 0, 1 or 2. If total goals are 3 - all stakes will be refunded. |
| Under 3.25 | Total goals to be 0, 1 or 2. If total goals are 3 - half stakes will be refunded and half will win. |
| Under 3.50 | Total goals to be 0, 1, 2 or 3. |
| Under etc ... | Same conditions ... |
| Over 0.50 | Total goals to be 1 or more. |
| Over 0.75 | Total goals to be 2 or more. If total goals are 1 - half stakes will be refunded and half will win. |
| Over 1.00 | Total goals to be 2 or more. If total goals are 1 - all stakes will be refunded. |
| Over 1.25 | Total goals to be 2 or more. If total goals are 1 - half stakes will be refunded and half will be lost. |
| Over 1.50 | Total goals to be 2 or more. |
| Over 1.75 | Total goals to be 3 or more. If total goals are 2 - half stakes will be refunded and half will win. |
| Over 2.00 | Total goals to be 3 or more. If total goals are 2 - all stakes will be refunded. |
| Over 2.25 | Total goals to be 3 or more. If total goals are 2 - half stakes will be refunded and half will be lost. |
| Over 2.50 | Total goals to be 3 or more. |
| Over 2.75 | Total goals to be 4 or more. If total goals are 3 - half stakes will be refunded and half will win. |
| Over 3.00 | Total goals to be 4 or more. If total goals are 3 - all stakes will be refunded. |
| Over 3.25 | Total goals to be 4 or more. If total goals are 3 - half stakes will be refunded and half will be lost. |
| Over 3.50 | Total goals to be 4 or more. |
| Over etc ... | Same conditions ... |
To Score / Not To Score
| GG | Both teams to score at least one goal. |
| NG | One or both teams not to score. |
| 1 | Home team to win the match. |
| X | Match to be draw. |
| 2 | Away team to win the match. |
| 1X | Home team to win or match to be draw. |
| X2 | Away team to win or match to be draw. |
| 12 | Away team to win or Home team to win. |
| Odd | Total goals in match to be odd. |
| Even | Total goals in match to be even. |
| HO 0.5 | Home Over 0.5 |
| HO 1.5 | Home Over 1.5 |
| HO ... | Home Over ... |
| HU 0.5 | Home Under 0.5 |
| HU 1.5 | Home Under 1.5 |
| HU ... | Home Under ... |
| AO 0.5 | Away Over 0.5 |
| AO 1.5 | Away Over 1.5 |
| AO ... | Away Over ... |
| AU 0.5 | Away Under 0.5 |
| AU 1.5 | Away Under 1.5 |
| AU ... | Away Under ... |
| Over(C) | Same as in tab U/O but for corners. |
| Under(C) | Same as in tab U/O but for corners. |
| 1(C) | Same as in tab 1X2 but for corners. |
| X(C) | Same as in tab 1X2 but for corners. |
| 2(C) | Same as in tab 1X2 but for corners. |
| HO(C) | Same as in tab HO/HU/AO/AU but for corners. |
| HU(C) | Same as in tab HO/HU/AO/AU but for corners. |
| AO(C) | Same as in tab HO/HU/AO/AU but for corners. |
| AU(C) | Same as in tab HO/HU/AO/AU but for corners. |
| AH 1(C) | Same as in tab AH but for corners. |
| AH 2(C) | Same as in tab AH but for corners. |
| Odd(C) | Same as in tab Odd/Even but for corners. |
| Even(C) | Same as in tab Odd/Even but for corners. |
| HOdd | Home team total corners to be Odd. |
| HEven | Home team total corners to be Even. |
| AOdd | Away team total corners to be Odd. |
| AEven | Away team total corners to be Even. |
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